Approved by USDA’s World Agricultural Outlook Board
Livestock, Dairy, and Poultry Outlook
2020 Exports for Most Red Meats and Poultry Forecast Higher
U.S. exports of red meat and poultry are expected to increase by more than 4 percent in 2020. Beef
exports are forecast to increase 2.7 percent, largely due to lower anticipated competition in Asian
markets, as beef supplies in Oceania will reflect weather-related herd reduction this year. Pork exports
are expected to increase more than 7 percent next year as Mexican demand for U.S. pork is re-
established following the removal of tariffs in mid-May, 2019. Broiler export growth is forecast at 2.3
percent based on expectations of increased demand in low- and middle-income countries, particularly
as the global meat and poultry market is pressured by shifting Chinese demand. Growth of 3 percent is
anticipated for turkey exports next year, supported by strength in shipments to Mexico—the largest
buyer of U.S. turkey meat—with continued low turkey prices expected to draw additional international
buying interest. Lamb and mutton exports are likely to fall as U.S. production trends lower. Export
volumes for eggs and egg products are forecast to decrease by 3 percent, based on expectations of
continued softness in foreign demand. Dairy exports are expected to grow 3.3 percent next year as
global demand for dairy products grows.
2.7
7.4
-8.4
2.3
3.0
-3
3.3
-10
-8
-6
-4
-2
0
2
4
6
8
10
Beef
Pork
Lamb & Mutton
Broilers
Eggs
%
Percent change in exports (2020/2019)
Dairy*
Source: USDA, Economic Research Service.
*Dairy exports are reflected on a skim-solids milk-equivalent basis.
Turkey
Economic Research Service | Situation and Outlook Report
Next release is July 17, 2019
LDP-M-300 | June 17, 2019
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