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Decarbonising Transport TRL 2020.pdf
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Decarbonising Transport TRL 2020.pdf
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1
Decarbonising Transport
Dr. Anthony Velazquez Abad
Head of Environment and Decarbonisation
2020
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Decarbonising Transport
Contents
The Transport Transition
About TRL
Strategic Themes
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The Challenge
The Road to Decarbonising Transport
Research Priorities
Systems modelling to support decision making
Technology development, monitoring and evaluation
Stimulating and optimising demand & operational efficiency
Net zero carbon planning and audits
Climate adaptation and resilience modelling
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Executive summary
TRL is a global centre of excellence in transport and innovative mobility solutions.
We have an internationally recognised team of scientists, researchers and
consultants who are providing solutions in:
The UK’s Green Industrial Revolution vision announced by the UK’s
Government at the end of 2020 requires the development of an immediate,
comprehensive and well-funded decarbonisation plan. A plan built around
a broader industrial strategy that considers carbon prices and other
environmental, social and economic policies, positions the country in the right
path to meet the UK interim carbon budgets and achieving net zero by 2050.
This will require major changes to how people and goods move, implemented
through a system-based approach.
TRL has a deep technical understanding of new transport solutions and
their societal implications, as well as the potential changes required to
associated policies and regulations, market structures and energy systems.
Consideration of consumer experiences, choices and motivations is paramount
to successfully manage a transition to net zero journeys that deliver
environmental, societal and economic success.
• Systems modelling to support decision making
• Technology research and development; monitoring and evaluation
• Climate adaptation and resilience modelling
• Stimulating and optimising demand & efficiency
• Net zero carbon planning, roadmaps and audits
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Decarbonising Transport
The scientific evidence linking climate change to human activity is overwhelming.
A changing climate is the most significant threat to our environment, which if
unaddressed, will have far reaching and devastating implications for our planet, our
societies and the global economy.
Recent research suggests that to avoid the most dramatic consequences of the
climate emergency, warming should not surpass 1.5°C ¹, a very challenging target
considering that the temperature in the UK has already increased by 0.9°C in the
past decade². In 2019, the UK government passed national legislation that requires
‘net zero’ Greenhouse Gas (GHG) emissions by 2050, a challenge that will require a
combination of solutions including efficiency improvements, behavioural changes
and innovation.
There have been large decreases in energy emissions in the UK since 1990, but
transport emissions remain relatively static (Figure 1). Transport accounts for a
third of all carbon dioxide emissions in the UK³ and became the largest emitting
sector of GHG emissions in 2016. Achieving net zero transport emissions by 2050
necessitates urgent action and a radical overhaul of how people and goods move. It
will require significant and coordinated investment, including economies of scale to
reduce the costs of existing zero carbon technologies, fundamental technological
changes and breakthroughs, new supporting infrastructure, affordable public
transport services and favourable policies.
To realise the 2050 obligation, we need to make progress now decarbonising even
the most difficult transport modes by promoting active travel, electro-mobility
(micro mobility, battery, catenary and fuel cells vehicles) and alternative low carbon
fuels for rail, shipping and aviation. Figure 2 overleaf illustrates the scale of the
challenge.
The challenge
1. Special Report: Global Warming of 1.5°C, IPCC (2018) https://www.ipcc.ch/sr15/download/
2. State of the UK Climate 2019 (2020) https://rmets.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/toc/10970088/2020/40/S1
3. 2018 UK Greenhouse gas emissions, provisional figures, National Statistics, UK Department for Business, Energy & Industrial Strategy
Figure 1: UK Domestic Greenhouse Gas (GHG) emissions (MtCO2e) to 2018; total and
transport emissions
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