M. Valadkhani et al.
770
out two separate studies in field of prediction of change rate in shoreline of
Chabahar Region and Pejam Gulf examining the position of shoreline using sa-
tellite data. These researchers benefited from endpoint rate, least squares and
combined method to predict shoreline believing that use of combined method
has had better results compared to other statistical methods. Majority of studies
in area of shoreline of Gorgan Rood have emphasized on effecting factors on
Delta from landside or effect of sea level fluctuation less considering changes in
shoreline. Some of these studies are as follows: conducted study by [6] examin-
ing geomorphological evidences of changes in Caspian Sea level during Late Qu-
aternaryin area of Gorgan Rood River, study by [7] investigating some observa-
tions of seal level of Caspian Sea in central part of Gilan, east of Mazandaran,
and study of kakroodi
et al.
examining rapid changes in sea level of Caspian Sea
during Holocene in east south of Caspian Sea emphasizing on sea level fluctuation.
3. Research Methodology
The base of this study is on analytical comparison method of affecting variables
on periodic change of shoreline in river estuary in which statistical and image
data were analyzed. Apparent shear stress and transverse momentum transfer
resulted from it play important roles in the calculation of flow rate and second-
ary flows to identify and control the sediment transport mechanism in order for
protecting coasts, organizing rivers, designing a stable channel, analyzing scour-
ing as well as transmitting the contamination [4]. Wind hourly data of Meteoro-
logical Organization of Iran was used to study waves. This research was con-
ducted within three time intervals including 1955-1988, 2000-2006, and 2006-
2013. To study the water discharge status and estimation of sediment of rivers,
the statistics (monthly and yearly) of water flow and sediment of rivers were
prepared from Iran Water Resources Management Company. Characteristics of
waves such as height, period, length, and frequency of wave were calculated from
data of 55-year winds of Synoptic Station of Babolsar (1951-2006) using Coastal
Protection Regulations. In this method, fetch length, wind tension factor,
10-meter levels of wind speed, spatial effects, stability correction and average
wind speed during the obtained wind blowing, and finally prediction of waves
resulted from wind were calculated for wind data of Babolsar Station (Yamani
et
al.
, 2010). Data of statistical period of 1929-2013 of Ports and Maritime Organi-
zation in Anzali Station were used for level gauging of seawater to assess daily,
monthly, quarterly, and yearly changes. Illustration and digitalization of topo-
graphy maps, aerial photographs and satellite imagery was done through ArcGIS
Software. Preprocess, process and detection of multi-temporal satellite images
from studied area was done using Excel Software and to illustrate wind rose,
WRPOLT Software was used and to illustrate wave rose, MIKE21 Software was
used. The method of 2 equidistant profiles has been used in this study to deter-
mine changes in shoreline and recognizing the nature, place, and occurrence
time of changes in shoreline. To illustrate the mentioned profiles at the part of
coastal hinterland, a direct line was illustrated as baseline in order to assess the
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