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DISCLOSURE APPENDIX AT THE BACK OF THIS REPORT CONTAINS IMPORTANT DISCLOSURES, ANALYST
CERTIFICATIONS, LEGAL ENTITY DISCLOSURE AND THE STATUS OF NON-US ANALYSTS. US Disclosure: Credit
Suisse does and seeks to do business with companies covered in its research reports. As a result, investors should be aware
that the Firm may have a conflict of interest that could affect the objectivity of this report. Investors should consider this report
as only a single factor in making their investment decision.
5 September 2019
Americas/United States
Equity Research
Life Science Tools and Diagnostics
Life Science Tools &
Diagnostics
SECTOR REVIEW
Research Analysts
Erin Wilson Wright
212 538 4080
erin.wright@credit-suisse.com
Katie Tryhane
212 325 2713
katie.tryhane@credit-suisse.com
Haley Christofides
212 325 2000
haley.christofides@credit-suisse.com
Top Questions for Management Teams
With several investor and industry conferences approaching, we have
compiled a list of relevant questions and topics of discussion for respective
management teams across our diverse coverage universe of Life Science
Tools and Diagnostics companies, with an emphasis on the following sub-
sectors: Animal Health, Contract Services Organizations, Clinical Laboratories,
Dental, Life Sciences, and Drug Distributors, among others. Please reach out
to our team for copies of our latest models or other requests in preparation for
your meetings.
Figure 1: Life Science Tools & Diagnostics Coverage Universe
Dental
Dentsply Sirona XRAY IQVIA Holdings IQV
Align Technology ALGN ICON PLC ICLR
Henry Schein HSIC PRA Health Sciences PRAH
Patterson Companies PDCO Syneos Health SYNH
Medpace MEDP
Animal Health
Charles River Laboratories CRL
Zoetis ZTS
IDEXX Laboratories IDXX
Elanco Animal Health ELAN Avantor AVTR
Phibro Animal Health PAHC Danaher DHR
Covetrus CVET LabCorp LH
Petmed Express PETS Quest Diagnostics DGX
Fulgent Genetics FLGT
Distributors
Lantheus Holdings LNTH
AmerisourceBergen ABC
Cardinal Health CAH
McKesson MCK
Owens & Minor OMI
Contract Research Organizations
Life Sciences & Diagnostics
Source: Credit Suisse
Links to recent industry research:
Drug Distributor Update: Generic Drug Pricing Monitor
SYNH: Summertime with Syneos—Management on the Road
Animal Tracks: July Pet Adoptions Accelerate; Pet Retail Tracker Healthy
ELAN: ELAN + Bayer Q&A Takeaway
Drug Distributor Update: Opioid Litigation Overhang Endures
Dental Update: Survey Says: Dental Demand Builds
5 September 2019
Life Science Tools & Diagnostics 2
Table of contents
Pharmaceutical Supply Chain 4
AmerisourceBergen (ABC).......................................................................................4
Cardinal Health (CAH) .............................................................................................6
McKesson (MCK) .....................................................................................................8
Owens & Minor (OMI) ............................................................................................10
Clinical Laboratories 12
LabCorp of America (LH) .......................................................................................12
Quest Diagnostics (DGX).......................................................................................14
CROs 16
Charles River Laboratories ....................................................................................16
ICON PLC (ICLR)...................................................................................................18
Syneos Health (SYNH) ..........................................................................................19
Medpace (MEDP)...................................................................................................21
PRA Health Sciences (PRAH) ...............................................................................23
IQVIA Holdings (IQV) .............................................................................................25
Dental 27
Align Technology (ALGN) ......................................................................................27
DENTSPLY Sirona (XRAY)....................................................................................29
Henry Schein (HSIC)..............................................................................................31
Patterson Companies (PDCO)...............................................................................33
Animal Health 35
Covetrus (CVET)....................................................................................................35
IDEXX Laboratories (IDXX)....................................................................................37
Phibro Animal Health (PAHC) ................................................................................40
Petmed Express (PETS) ........................................................................................42
Zoetis (ZTS) ...........................................................................................................43
Life Science Tools & Diagnostics / Other 46
Avantor (AVTR)......................................................................................................46
Fulgent Genetics (FLGT) .......................................................................................48
Lantheus (LNTH)....................................................................................................49
5 September 2019
Life Science Tools & Diagnostics 3
Figure 2: Life Science Tools & Diagnostics Coverage Universe
Price Upside / 9/4/19 Market
52 Week
Avg Daily
Revenue (CY)
Avg (5yr)
EPS (CY)
Avg (5yr)
EV/EBITDA (CY)
Dividend
Ticker Rating Target Downside Price Cap High Low
Vol (000's)
2019 2020 Rev Gr. 2019 2020 EPS Gr. 2019 2020 2019 2020 Yield
Dental
Dentsply Sirona XRAY Outperform $63 23% $51.33 $11,479 $59 $34 1,775 $3,955 $4,088 7% $2.39 $2.69 -2% 21.5x 19.1x 14.8x 13.4x 0.7%
Align Technology ALGN Outperform $320 81% $176.38 $14,211 $399 $172 1,722 $2,462 $2,884 25% $5.21 $6.71 28% 33.9x 26.3x 21.8x 16.5x -
Patterson Companies PDCO Outperform $25 55% $16.13 $1,521 $27 $16 1,302 $5,627 $5,799 8% $1.36 $1.46 -7% 11.9x 11.0x 8.3x 7.9x 6.4%
Henry Schein HSIC Neutral $66 8% $61.06 $9,113 $91 $57 1,322 $10,036 $10,382 7% $3.47 $3.78 11% 17.6x 16.1x 11.4x 10.9x -
Average
12% 7% 21.2x 18.1x 14.1x 12.2x
Animal Health
Zoetis ZTS Outperform $130 2% $127.59 $61,195 $128 $79 1,911 $6,235 $6,651 5% $3.58 $3.98 18% 35.6x 32.1x 26.5x 24.3x 0.5%
IDEXX Laboratories IDXX Outperform $293 1% $288.90 $25,553 $292 $176 395 $2,394 $2,626 10% $4.89 $5.56 20% 59.0x 51.9x 40.8x 37.0x -
Elanco Animal Health (1) ELAN Restricted $26.36 $9,668 $38 $26 4,070 $3,100 $3,197 2% $1.09 $1.27 28% 24.2x 20.8x 15.9x 14.2x -
Covetrus CVET Neutral $15 11% $13.50 $1,525 $50 $12 2,108 $3,928 $4,146 - $0.45 $0.65 - 30.0x 20.8x 13.3x 11.8x -
Phibro Animal Health PAHC Neutral $25 23% $20.34 $825 $48 $20 236 $827 $862 5% $1.31 $1.57 29% 15.5x 13.0x 10.0x 9.8x 2.4%
Petmed Express PETS Underperform $13 -17% $15.74 $322 $38 $15 950 $279 $286 4% $1.02 $0.94 19% 15.5x 16.8x 9.2x 10.0x 6.9%
Average
5% 23% 30.0x 25.9x 17.4x 16.1x
Contract Research Organizations
IQVIA Holdings IQV Outperform $170 12% $151.46 $30,135 $164 $105 1,010 $9,485 $10,217 7% $6.38 $7.29 15% 23.8x 20.8x 16.8x 15.3x -
ICON PLC ICLR Outperform $160 3% $155.41 $8,358 $165 $118 228 $2,817 $3,025 7% $6.87 $7.61 29% 22.6x 20.4x 16.8x 15.6x -
PRA Health Sciences PRAH Outperform $118 19% $99.15 $6,482 $122 $82 575 $3,103 $3,349 23% $5.03 $5.62 52% 19.7x 17.7x 14.0x 12.7x -
Syneos Health SYNH Outperform $58 10% $52.51 $5,524 $56 $36 433 $4,627 $4,969 59% $3.12 $3.57 62% 16.8x 14.7x 13.0x 11.8x -
Medpace MEDP Outperform $77 -5% $81.39 $3,053 $83 $46 482 $860 $943 26% $2.91 $3.24 11% 27.9x 25.1x 20.2x 18.3x -
Charles River Laboratories CRL Neutral $138 5% $131.71 $6,382 $149 $103 309 $2,654 $2,881 14% $6.46 $7.23 16% 20.4x 18.2x 13.0x 12.1x -
Average
19% 26% 18.7x 16.7x 13.4x 12.2x
Life Sciences & Diagnostics
Danaher (1) DHR Restricted $140.26 $103,389 $146 $95 2,013 $20,741 $24,445 10% $4.80 $5.66 14% 29.2x 24.8x 22.6x 21.0x 0.5%
Avantor AVTR Outperform $20 16% $17.24 $11,206 $20 $14 1,630 $6,100 $6,416 - $0.55 $0.75 - 31.1x 22.8x 15.4x 13.4x -
LabCorp of America LH Outperform $182 8% $168.19 $16,442 $178 $119 695 $11,491 $11,962 15% $11.26 $12.23 10% 14.9x 13.7x 11.3x 10.8x -
Quest Diagnostics DGX Neutral $105 2% $102.73 $13,788 $110 $79 1,016 $7,733 $7,908 1% $6.54 $6.84 8% 15.7x 15.0x 10.9x 10.8x 2.1%
Fulgent Genetics FLGT Neutral $9 -26% $11.41 $215 $13 $3 92 $32 $48 189% $0.06 $0.28 - - 40.3x 74.1x 21.7x -
Lantheus Holdings LNTH Neutral $25 17% $21.36 $860 $30 $13 432 $350 $371 4% $1.11 $1.33 - 19.3x 16.1x 9.6x 9.2x -
Average
44% 11% 22.1x 22.1x 24.0x 14.5x
Pharmaceutical & Medical Supply Chain
AmerisourceBergen ABC Outperform $98 15% $85.18 $17,832 $95 $69 1,347 $180,696 $190,167 13% $7.36 $7.79 15% 11.6x 10.9x 7.8x 7.5x 1.9%
Cardinal Health CAH Outperform $53 20% $44.35 $13,221 $58 $41 3,123 $148,297 $153,651 8% $5.12 $5.20 3% 8.7x 8.5x 7.1x 7.0x 4.3%
McKesson MCK Neutral $143 2% $140.54 $26,122 $151 $106 1,693 $220,577 $228,010 6% $14.00 $15.01 12% 10.0x 9.4x 8.4x 7.6x 1.1%
Owens & Minor OMI Underperform $3 -52% $6.39 $383 $18 $2 1,435 $9,965 $10,130 2% $0.65 $0.71 -8% 9.8x 9.0x 6.7x 6.6x 0.2%
Average
- - - - - -
Indices
S&P 500 Index SP50 2,938 3,028 2,347 $200.59
P/E (CY)
Source: Company data, Credit Suisse estimates, FactSet. $ in Millions, except per share data
(1) DHR, ELAN based on FactSet Consensus estimates
5 September 2019
Life Science Tools & Diagnostics 4
Pharmaceutical Supply Chain
AmerisourceBergen (ABC)
General
■ Generic pricing visibility? Can you provide an update on what you are seeing?
■ You maintained that your assumption for brand price inflation of +MSD in the latest
quarterly report. Can you provide an update on what you are seeing in the market, your
level of visibility thereon?
■ Other US Regulatory Update: How should we think about the potential implications of
Part B drugs transitioning to Part D, and other concepts such as specialty step therapy
across your specialty business? Implications of the proposed importation plan? Which
segments of your business are exposed?
■ Could you provide an update on your efforts to implement differential pricing strategies
across varying product types?
■ On opioids, can you provide an update on how opioid litigation is progressing in
relation to ABC? Can you speak to your positioning and thoughts as we approach
relevant trails? Update on expected litigation-related costs in FY19? How does your
accounting for the associated expenses differ from the other distributors?
■ Update on your relationship with WBA and what a potential more formal alignment
would add for you? Where would there be potential dis-synergies (i.e. independent
pharmacy relationships)?
■ Amazon has formally entered the Healthcare Supply Chain Services continuum with its
purchase of PillPack. What are your thoughts on how Amazon will impact the industry,
and what impact do you see for ABC? Update on current supply relationship with ABC?
■ M&A pipeline update? Focus on pharma distribution and related services vs. ancillary
services deal? Deal sizes (Tuck-ins vs. something more transformational)?
■ As it relates to your diversification strategy, do you plan to expand your current
offerings (e.g. MWI, World Courier) or into other service offerings? Do you expect
these efforts to be organic or inorganic?
■ Diversified profit drivers: What percent of revenues and profits stem from businesses
outside of core distribution? Where does this metric go over the next 3-5 years?
Pharmaceutical Segment
■ The Pharma segment margin strengthened in F3Q. Can you speak to the drivers of the
recent outperformance and the sustainability thereon?
■ Are you concerned about a potential irrational sell-side environment, given recent
contract re-pricing across the industry?
■ PharMEDium update: You recently entered a Consent Decree (May 17). How are
PharMEDium / DOJ discussions progressing? Any surprises relative to expectations?
− Can you speak to your decision to close one of the PharMEDium facilities? Prior to
closing this facility, you had mentioned that the remaining open facilities (ex.
Memphis) do not cover the cost base, meaning the PharMEDium business was
operating at a loss. How does this recent optimization effort change that dynamic?
− Can you speak to the findings by your cGMP consultant, particularly as it relates to
the current demand environment for PharMEDium offerings?
− Can you provide an update on your overall strategic review as it relates to
PharMEDium? When should we expect further clarity?
5 September 2019
Life Science Tools & Diagnostics 5
■ Can you comment on the state of contract renewals and current conversations you are
having with customers? Any major contracts up near term?
■ We have heard now for some time from a number of industry constituents about the
ongoing move away from contracts that depend on drug price inflation as an essential
component of overall compensation. What is the split of the gross profits you generate
from drug distribution that comes from fixed contracts versus variable? Is it correct to
assume you are pursuing a strategy to change that mix towards 100% FFS over time?
■ Seeing as FFS agreements can be based on the total pharmaceutical spend managed
for a manufacturer, profitability of these contracts still depend, to a degree, on inflation
even as you move away from contracts more directly tied to the metric. When we think
about the relative importance of some branded inflation compared to what you are able
to generate on generic drugs, how would you help us frame those two buckets in terms
of their importance to gross profit?
■ Can you provide your view on the resumption of manufacturer brand price increases in
2019? Do you view this trend will continue? What are the implications? View on
political environment around drug pricing?
■ How do you compare capital efficiency of your generic sourcing capability relative to
those of your competitor? (i.e. WBAD vs. Red Oak and ClarusONE)
■ What kind of impact has ESRX’s entrance into WBAD had on your gross margin? Are
you realizing the full benefit of WBAD, or do you view there is room for improvement as
it relates to generic purchasing? What more can you do with WBAD?
■ How is the HD Smith (HDS) integration progressing? What core customer groups did
HDS add? In light of accelerated synergy capture relative to expectations, do you
foresee further synergy capture opportunities? Are there future consolidation
opportunities similar to HD Smith?
■ Can you speak to your strategy/opportunity in specialty, which you define as the
distribution of oncology and physician-administered drugs? Biosimilar opportunity?
Profit dynamics across this business and how that will trend over the next 3-5 years?
Other Segment
■ Can you speak to the longer term potential of Lash Consulting in terms of strategic
positioning, topline growth, and profit trajectory?
− Can you provide an update on the Lash Consulting, and the progress on Fusion
implementation? What factors are driving implementation costs higher than
anticipated, and why is the account migration taking longer than expected?
■ In Animal Health/MWI, any changes in the demand trends for the companion and
production animal markets? Your expanded relationship with Mars/WOOF?
− Potential implications of an evolving flea/tick/heartworm market in the US?
− Thoughts on direct distribution dynamics, particularly as manufacturers more
broadly open up to alternative channels (e.g. PetMed Express, Chewy)?
■ What are the implications, in your view, of the Henry Schein spin (Covetrus, CVET)
and merger with Vets First Choice? Can you speak to your investment in Vetsource,
the leading competitor to Covetrus’ Vets First Choice platform?
■ Update on World Courier growth, longer term profit prospects?
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