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爱立信移动通信报告ericsson-mobility-report-june-2019.pdf
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爱立信移动报告2019,全面了解移动通信产业状况,全英文版本。5G时代的必备知识,帮助快速了解通信行业整体情况,对于希望借助5G开展业务的小伙伴,非常有必要。
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2 Ericsson Mobility Report | June 2019Introduction
Key contributors
Executive Editor: Patrik Cerwall
Project Manager: Anette Lundvall
Editors: Peter Jonsson, Stephen Carson
Forecasts: Richard Möller
Articles: Peter Jonsson, Stephen Carson, Andres Torres,
Per Lindberg, Kati Öhman, Athanasios Karapantelakis
Co-written articles: Shamil Bajgin, Elena Purtova, MTS (Russia)
Saliha Sezgin Alp, Mustafa Karakoc, Gulay Yardim, Turkcell (Turkey)
Jenni Barbour, Telstra (Australia)
Letter from the publisher
As market after market switches on 5G, we are at a truly momentous point
in time. No previous generation of mobile technology has had the potential
to drive economic growth to the extent that 5G promises. It goes beyond
connecting people to fully realizing the Internet of Things (IoT) and the
Fourth Industrial Revolution.
Digital infrastructure can make distance less relevant than ever.
5G is the key to making it all work – driving economic value from enhanced
mobile broadband to industry digitalization. That, in turn, will require an
ecosystem of technology, regulatory, security and industry partners to deliver
on the potential. Smart cities, Industrial IoT, augmented reality, autonomous
transport and digital health are just some of the exciting prospects that can
be made real with the support of the 5G ecosystem.
In this edition of the Ericsson Mobility Report, we go beyond the forecast
numbers and, in three co-written articles, present a glimpse of the impressive
progress happening in markets on the verge of deploying 5G:
– With Telstra in Australia, we explore how to manage the ever-growing
demand for data and video, while maintaining consumer experience,
particularly for live content streaming.
– With MTS in Russia, we describe how mobile networks must evolve to ensure
network performance that meets customer experience expectations, as well
as enabling new services when preparing for 5G.
– With Turkcell in Turkey, we look into managing network performance and
service offerings in a successful fixed wireless access (FWA) implementation.
As 5G is switched on in country after country, the significance of this
technology for all sectors of society will become increasingly apparent.
I hope you find the report engaging and useful!
Publisher
Fredrik Jejdling
Executive Vice President and Head of Business Area Networks
5G switched on
With Telstra, we explore how to
manage the demand for data and
video while maintaining consumer
experience, especially for live
content streaming.
Page 26
With MTS, we describe how mobile
networks must evolve to ensure
network performance that meets
customer expectations, and enables
new services when preparing for 5G.
Page 20
3 Ericsson Mobility Report | June 2019Introduction
Articles
20 Network evolution
strategies towards 5G
23 Experiences from smart fixed
wireless access deployment
26 Superior media experiences
by broadcasting content
29 Applying AI to mobile radio
site management
32 Methodology
33 Glossary
34 Global and regional key figures
Forecasts
04 Mobile subscriptions Q1 2019
06 Mobile subscriptions outlook
08 IoT connections outlook
10 5G device outlook
11 Voice and communication
services outlook
12 Regional subscriptions outlook
14 Mobile traffic Q1 2019
15 Mobile traffic by
application category
16 Mobile data traffic outlook
18 Network coverage
19 Private networks
Contents
The content of this document is based
on a number of theoretical dependencies
and assumptions. Ericsson shall not be
bound by or liable for any statement,
representation, undertaking or omission
made in this document. Furthermore,
Ericsson may, at any time, change the
contents of this document at its sole
discretion and shall not be liable for
the consequences of such changes.
Find out more
Scan the QR code or visit
www.ericsson.com/mobility-report
With Turkcell, we look into
managing network performance
and service offerings in an FWA
implementation.
Page 23
We show how AI can improve radio
tower inspections by detecting and
diagnosing cabling issues.
Page 29
Forecasts4 Ericsson Mobility Report | June 2019
Mobile subscriptions Q1 2019
The total number of mobile subscriptions was around
7.9 billion in Q1 2019, with 44 million new subscriptions
added during the quarter.
1
Mobile broadband includes radio access technologies HSPA (3G), LTE (4G), 5G, CDMA2000 EV-DO, TD-SCDMA and Mobile WiMAX
² Mainly CDMA2000 EV-DO, TD-SCDMA and Mobile WiMAX
* India region includes India, Nepal and Bhutan
** Excluding China and India
Subscription penetration Q1 2019 (percent of population)
122%
Western Europe
114%
China
141%
Central and
Eastern Europe
81%
Africa
102%
Latin
America
104%
North America
112%
Middle East
85%
India*
114%
APAC**
The number of mobile subscriptions grew at
2 percent year-on-year and currently totals
around 7.9 billion. China had the most net
additions during the quarter (+30 million),
followed by Nigeria (+5 million) and the
Philippines (+4 million). The high subscription
growth in China continues from last year,
and is likely the result of intense competition
among communications service providers
in the country. In India, the number of
subscriptions declined by 14 million. This was
mainly due to the introduction of a minimum
regular recharge amount by some large
operators, to tackle low-paying users and
increase average revenue per user (ARPU).
The number of mobile broadband
subscriptions
1
grew at 15 percent
year-on-year, increasing by 140 million
in Q1 2019. The total is now 6 billion,
equaling 76 percent of mobile subscriptions.
The number of LTE subscriptions increased
by 160 million during the quarter to reach
a total of 3.7 billion, and 47 percent of all
mobile subscriptions are now for LTE.
The net addition for WCDMA/HSPA
was around 20 million subscriptions.
GSM/EDGE-only subscriptions declined
by 80 million. Other technologies² declined
by around 30 million.
Subscriptions associated with smartphones
account for more than 60 percent of all
mobile phone subscriptions. The number of
mobile subscriptions exceeds the population
in many countries, which is largely due
to inactive subscriptions, multiple device
ownership or optimization of subscriptions
for different types of calls. As a result, the
number of mobile subscribers is lower than
the number of mobile subscriptions. Today,
there are around 5.7 billion subscribers
globally compared to 7.9 billion subscriptions.
Global mobile subscription penetration
is now at 104 percent.
Forecasts5 Ericsson Mobility Report | June 2019
Total and new mobile subscriptions Q1 2019 (million)
North America 385 (+2)
Middle East 415 (+3)
Western Europe 510 (-5)
Central and
Eastern Europe
580 (0)
Africa 1,045 (+15)
APAC (excluding
China and India)
1,545 (+12)
India 1,160 (-14)
Latin America 665 (+1)
China 1,595 (+30)
6bn
There are now 6 billion mobile
broadband subscriptions.
47%
47 percent of all mobile
subscriptions are now for LTE.
104%
Global subscription penetration
is at 104 percent in Q1 2019.
Top countries by net additions Q1 2019
China
+30 million
Nigeria
+5 million
Philippines
+4 million
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