重新陷入僵局 －利比亚反复出现的政府分裂和国际认知困境.pdf

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ARI 29/2023

12 April 2023

Relapsing into deadlock: Libya’s recurring government

In Libya, domestic authority fractures have become a constant in the midst of a fluid

conflict. The practices of international recognition of governments pursued since 2011

have faced dilemmas stemming from three dichotomies: international vs domestic

recognition; legitimacy vs effectiveness; and coherence vs inclusivity in conflict

mediation and peacemaking.

Summary

Twelve years after the spark of the revolution and the international military intervention

that overthrew the regime of Muammar Gaddafi in 2011, Libya is yet to see the light at

the end of the tunnel of protracted turmoil and intermittent civil war. Parliamentary and

and Cyrenaica/Barqa (East) since February-March 2022, with the ensuing increased risk

of return to violent conflict.

Analysis

Background and analytical reconsiderations of the Libyan conflict

Over the past 12 years, Libya has gone through the overlapping upheavals of revolution,

international military intervention and civil war in three episodes (February-October 2011,

May 2014-December 2015 and April 2019-October 2020), as well as relatively quieter

interludes devoted to stabilisation, political transition, security sector reform (SSR) and

state-building attempts (October 2011-May 2014, December 2015-April 2019 and