甘肃省工业碳排放时空特征及其影响因素分析
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中国科技论文在线
甘肃省工业碳排放时空特征及其影响因素
分析
王彤彤
1
，吴旺旺
2
，王壮
3
，张小平
3**
作者简介：王彤彤(1993-)，男，硕士研究生，专业为环境科学
通信联系人：张小平(1967-)，女，教授，主要研究方向为产业经济与生态经济. E-mail: zxp@nwnu.edu.cn
（1. 西北农林科技大学资源环境学院，陕西 杨凌 712100； 5
2. 福建农林大学资源与环境学院，福建 福州 350002；
3. 西北师范大学地理与环境科学学院，甘肃 兰州 730070）
摘要：随着我国社会经济的快速发展，能源消耗和环境恶化等问题日趋严重，对人类的可持
续发展带来严峻的挑战；特别是工业生产所排放的碳带来的温室效应成为当今社会所关注的10
焦点，所以目前对工业碳排放研究已成为一个热点研究问题。为此，本文分析了 2000-2011
年甘肃省工业碳排放总量、工业碳排放强度在时间和空间范围的变化，建立了甘肃省碳排放
量影响因素灰色关联度分析模型，定量分析了 11 年间人口数量、经济规模、能耗结构等因
素对甘肃省工业碳排放增量的影响。分析结果表明：从时间角度看，甘肃省 11 年间工业碳
排放量呈上升趋势，而碳排放强度呈下降趋势；从空间角度看，嘉峪关等五市属于碳排放高15
强度区；从影响因素分析，煤炭和石油是工业碳排放的主体，关联度最高。对此提出了相应
的低碳节能减排政策建议。
关键词：工业碳排放；时空特征；影响因素；甘肃省
中图分类号：X24
20
Factor analysis of spatial and temporal characteristics of
carbon and the influence of industry of Gansu Province
WANG Tongtong
1
, WU Wangwang
2
, WANG Zhuang
3
, ZHANG Xiaoping
3
(1. College of Resources and Environment, Northwest A&F University,Yangling 712100;
2. College of Resources and Environment, Fujian A&F University,Fuzhou 350002; 25
3. College of Geographic and environmental science,Northwest normal university,Lanzhou
730070)
Abstract: With the rapid development of China's social economy, the problem of energy
consumption and environmental deterioration is becoming more and more serious, bring the
severe challenge to human sustainable development. Especially the greenhouse effect of carbon 30
emissions of industrial production has become the attention focus of today's society, so the
research on industrial carbon emissions has become a hot research issue. Therefore, this paper
analyzes the changes of Gansu province from 2000 to 2011, total industrial emissions industrial
carbon emissions intensity, established the impact of carbon emissions in Gansu province factors
grey relational degree analysis model, quantitative analysis of the effects of 2000 factors, 2011 35
years the population number of economies of scale, energy consumption structure of Gansu
Province industrial carbon emissions the. Through the analysis on the factors of Gansu province
from 2000 to 2011 carbon emissions characteristics and influence in Gansu Province found that:
Analysised from the Angle of time the total emission of industrial carbon showed increasing trend,
but the carbon emission intensity of industrial decline. From the space perspective, jiayuguan and 40
other five city belongs to high carbon emissions intensity area. From influence factors analysis of
coal and oil is the main part of the industrial carbon emissions, the highest correlation. Finally put
forward low carbon energy-saving emission reduction policies and corresponding suggestions.
Key words: Industrial Carbon Emissions; Spatial-Temporal Feature;Influencing Factor;Gansu
Province 45
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