Problem Chosen
B
2022
MCM/ICM
Summary Sheet
Team Control Number
Team34
Lake Mead waters level prediction model by difference method
Summary
Climate change and human activities have reduced water resources and depleted lakes and
rivers. Lake Mead’s water levels are falling due to droughts caused by climate change and in-
creasing water use by surrounding residents.In addition, we evaluated the relationship model of
elevation, area, and volume.
By discussing the factors that affect the inflow, outflow and loss of Lake Mead and analyzing
their impact on the water volume and water level of Lake Mead, this paper points out how it
affects the elevation, area, and volume of Lake Mead, and deduces the relationship between the
three.
For the analysis of water level changes in Lake Mead, we established two models: a quadratic
equation based on the water level data of the most recent dry period in 2021 and a difference
equation based on the monthly water level changes from 2005 to 2020, to determine The dry
period of Lake Mead and analysis of its overall water level pattern, forecast the future water level
changes in 2025, 2030 and 2050, and analyze and evaluate our two models, found that the latter
is more accurate, and from the two models can be It can be seen that the water level in the future
is generally lower than the water level in previous years.
The reduction in water volume and water level in Lake Mead means that water resources are
decreasing, and wastewater recycling and reuse is an effective water recycling measure. Taking
into account the decisions local leaders may make and the priorities that will influence our plan-
ning, we have developed the principles behind a sound wastewater recycling plan and plan, and
measured the impact of the factual plan. Then, we assessed whether our plans were reasonable.
We conclude our investigation with a non-technical news article summarizing our findings
and our recommendations for wastewater recycling.
Keywords: water level; language modeling; human activity; biological factors; wastewater recy-
cling; quadratic equation; difference equation