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德勤-投资管理行业展望(英文)-2-24页.pdf
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德勤-投资管理行业展望(英文)-2-24页.pdf
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2019 Investment
Management Outlook
A mix of opportunity and challenge
2019 Investment Management Outlook: A mix of opportunity and challenge
2
Brochure / report title goes here | Section title goes here
02
2019: Another year of challenges with new opportunities for success 1
Picking the right growth options 3
Creating operational eciencies 8
Delivering the next level of customer experience 13
2019: Execution drives success 15
Table of contents
2019 Investment Management Outlook: A mix of opportunity and challenge
1
2019: Another year of
challenges with new
opportunities for success
Investment management is in a period of rapid change,
driven by shifting investor preferences, margin compression,
regulatory developments, and advancing technologies.
While the nine-year bull run has diminished the intensity of
these industry challenges, experience tells us that markets
work in cycles. Successful investment managers (which
we dene as managers of mutual funds, hedge funds, and
private equity rms) in 2019 will likely be the ones that can
continue to manage these challenges with plans designed to
withstand changing market conditions.
Priorities for long-only managers are more acute than
those for alternative managers
Passive funds continue to garner assets. In the rst half
of 2018, 16 of the top 20 funds by net ows were passive
mutual funds and exchange-traded funds (ETFs) garnering
$143 billion.
1
The advent of zero-cost ETFs may accelerate
this growth even further. According to State Street Global
Advisors’ estimates and Investment Company Institute’s
data, global ETF assets could touch the $25 trillion mark by
the end of 2025, up from $4.8 trillion in 2018.
2,3
At the same time, making the case for alpha for many
active managers remains a challenge. A study has shown
that 86.7 percent of US active funds have underperformed
their benchmark, on a net-of-fees basis, over the 10-year
period ending in 2017.
4
European funds have similar results:
85.4 percent of actively managed European equity funds
underperformed their benchmark over the same period.
5
In the private equity (PE) world, consistent strong
performance rewarded accredited and institutional
investors, which led to large capital inows and record
dry powder (undeployed capital) (gure 1). As of March
2018, global PE dry powder stood at $1 trillion, ready to be
invested in new portfolio companies with growth potential.
6
Figure 1. PE funds exhibit strong performance globally
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
Private equity funds―global S&P 500
1-year
20.5%
13.6%
15.0%
10.2%
15.2%
13.7%
9.8%
9.1%
13.4%
9.9%
3-year 5-year 10-year 15-year 18-year
11.4%
5.4%
Data as of 12/31/2017
Source: Global PE & VC Fund Performance Report, PitchBook.
Horizon internal rate of return
2019 Investment Management Outlook: A mix of opportunity and challenge
2
Customer preferences are diverging
Expectations are diverging between investor segments.
Most Millennials and Gen Z (born from 1995 to 2010) have
made a quantum change in their investment practices
from those of their parents. These cohorts will eventually
hold a signicant share of global investable assets as
the multitrillion-dollar intergenerational wealth transfer
progresses in the United States and Europe.
7
They tend
to prefer engaging with online and mobile channels, a low
minimum initial investment amount, and 24/7 access to
investment advice on smart devices. Meanwhile, more
experienced segments (Gen X and Baby Boomers) are
often expecting elegant interactions through their mobile
and online investment accounts and professional advice
on demand. On the other side of the spectrum, most
institutional investors are demanding better portfolio
transparency, tailored investment solutions, and
global products.
Regulatory fragmentation continues
Securities regulations across the United States, Europe, and
Asia are changing according to diverse priorities. Navigating
multiple regulatory regimes could be challenging for many
global investment management rms. In addition, the onset
of new rulings globally will likely complicate regulatory
compliance management in 2019. Building regulatory-ready
organizations to manage change as though it is ever-present
may improve eciency as rms manage regulatory and
compliance risk.
8
Tech-savvy rms are putting pressure on
traditional rms
Many investment management rms are planning for
potential disruption caused by new technology-based
entrants. These disruptors could shake up online fund
distribution, digital advice, or micro-investing with their
expertise in digital experience delivery or large customer
bases. These potential new entrants are likely to provide
low-cost services, coupled with digital-age capabilities,
aiming to build relationships with Millennial and Gen Z
cohorts before they are targeted by incumbent rms.
Given this complex and challenging industry environment,
investment management business leaders should consider
three core questions:
1. How can we grow our business?
2. What are the possibilities to run our operations
more eciently?
3. How can we deliver the next level of customer experience?
The answers to these questions are typically particular to
each organization and tend to evolve over time. Investment
management rms that address them with bold, strategic
investments and eective execution are more likely to
achieve success.
Regulatory change is driving
many rms to commit resources
to evaluate and change their
operating models to meet their
plans for growth and eciency.
―Patrick Henry, Vice Chairman, US Investment
Management leader, Deloitte & Touche LLP
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