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2020 年安徽省大学生统计建模大赛
作品名称
基于 AMOS 结构方程的新冠疫情下的国
民健康意识调查
组别
研究生组
市场调查分析类
类别
![](https://csdnimg.cn/release/download_crawler_static/89251970/bg2.jpg)
摘要
I
基于 AMOS 结构方程的新冠疫情下的国民健康意识调查
摘 要
以 2020 年 NCP 疫情影响下的国民健康意识和健康行为为研究对象,通过网络爬虫与电
子问卷的形式,采用文本挖掘算法、图表统计及结构方程模型对其进行分析,旨在探究 2020
年 NCP 疫情对国民健康意识和健康行为产生了哪些影响?影响程度如何?哪些外在因素提
高了国民的健康意识?
为深入了解疫情下国民健康意识和健康行为的基本情况,确定疫情对健康意识和健康行
为的影响及影响程度,基于以上方法模型,对 2020 年 NCP 疫情影响下的国民健康意识和健
康行为调查得出以下结论:
1) 通过抓取新浪微博社交平台 NCP 疫情相关报道的观众评价,基于中文分词、构建
LDA 主题模型等文本挖掘方法,编写 Python 程序从评论数据中分析出大众对“2020NCP 疫
情”的关注点以及抱怨点,对大众的健康意识进行了初步的判断,发现“口罩”、“买不到”、“加
油”、“不戴”、“武汉”等词出现频次较高,一定程度上说明了国民对于自身健康的关注度较
高。
2) 通过发布电子问卷进行调查,调查自 2020 年 2 月 23 日开始,至 2020 年 3 月 23
日结束,为期 30 天,共发放问卷 423 份,回收问卷 423 份,问卷回收率为 100%。得出:
38.54%的人认为此次新冠肺炎疫情对其卫生习惯影响中等,24%的人认为稍大,19.14%的人
认为较大,只有 18.14%的认为影响较小或没有影响,另外关于国民健康意识自评方面,采
用 5 分制,76.58%的人选择了 4 分和 5 分,只有 23.42%的人选择了 4 分以下,说明了当下
国民健康意识的普遍提高。
3) 基于对电子问卷获取的信息进行数据整理,依据问题划分为 4 个潜变量,分别为:
态度,口罩,措施,改变,1 个控制变量为情景因素,使用 AMOS 软件建立结构方程模型
分析得出:反映疫情期间戴口罩情况的最佳路径系数为 0.65;反映措施的最佳路径系数为
0.783;反映态度的最佳路径系数为 0.939。影响改变的路径关系包括态度的直接效应(0.642)
和信息关注度 Q6 的间接效应(0.129),其中态度占主导地位,Q6 通过态度间接影响改变,
对疫情信息的关注反映了对待疫情的态度,当态度上足够重视时,健康意识自然而然的变强;
![](https://csdnimg.cn/release/download_crawler_static/89251970/bg3.jpg)
摘要
II
影响态度的路径关系包括直接效应 Q6(0.202),影响措施的路径关系包括态度态度(0.665),
戴口罩情况的直接效应(0.198)和 Q6 的间接效应(0.134)。
针对以上结论,对进一步提高国民健康意识提出了如下建议:
1)加强身体锻炼,强健的体魄和积极的心态是应对疾病的良药,平时要定期定量的进
行身体锻炼;2)加强对传染病的关注与相关知识学习,才能有适宜的应对措施,从行为角
度进行疫情防控;3)保持对疾病的重视态度,态度和戴口罩行为是自我健康意识和健康行
为的直接反映。
关键词:
健康意识;SPSS;文本挖掘;Python;结构方程模型;
![](https://csdnimg.cn/release/download_crawler_static/89251970/bg4.jpg)
摘要
III
Abstract
Taking the national health awareness and health behavior under the influence of NCP
epidemic in 2020 as the research object, through the form of web crawler and electronic
questionnaire, using text mining algorithm and LDA theme model, the improved health belief
model is analyzed by structural equation model, aiming to explore the impact of NCP epidemic on
national health awareness and health behavior in 2020? What is the impact? What external factors
improve the national health awareness?
In order to understand the basic situation of national health awareness and health behavior
under the epidemic situation and determine the impact and degree of the epidemic situation on
health awareness and health behavior, based on the above method model, the following
conclusions are drawn from the investigation of national health awareness and health behavior
under the influence of 2020ncp epidemic situation:
1) By grabbing all the audience evaluation data available on Sina Weibo social platform,
through text mining methods such as Chinese word segmentation, building LDA theme model and
so on, python program is written to analyze the public's concerns and complaints about the
"2020ncp epidemic" from the comment data, and make a preliminary judgment on the public's
health awareness. It is found that "masks", "can't buy", "gas" "do not wear" and "Wuhan" appear
frequently, which shows that people pay more attention to their own health;
2) Through the electronic questionnaire survey, the questionnaire survey starts from February
23, 2020 and ends on March 23, 2020, lasting for 30 days. A total of 423 questionnaires were
distributed, 423 questionnaires were recovered, and the recovery rate was 100%. The novel
coronavirus pneumonia epidemic has a moderate impact on the health habits, 38.54% of the
people think the new crown pneumonia epidemic has a moderate impact on their health habits,
24% think it is slightly larger, 19.14% think it is bigger, only 18.14% think the influence is
smaller or no influence. In addition, the 5 point system is adopted in the national health self
consciousness evaluation, 76.58% people choose 4 points and 5 points, only 23.42% people
choose 4 points below, which shows the national health consciousness. General improvement.
![](https://csdnimg.cn/release/download_crawler_static/89251970/bg5.jpg)
摘要
IV
3) Based on the data collected from the electronic questionnaire, the data were divided into
four latent variables according to the problem: attitude, mask, measure, change, one control
variable was situational factor, and the structural equation model was established by using AMOS
software. The optimum path coefficient was 0.65,0.783 and 0.939. Path relationships that affect
change include direct effects of attitudes (0.642) and indirect effects Q6 information concerns
(0.129), where attitudes dominate and Q. The focus on epidemic information reflects the attitude
towards the epidemic through indirect changes in attitudes, and when sufficient attention is given,
health awareness naturally becomes stronger; the path relationships that influence attitudes include
direct effects Q6(0.202), the path relationships that influence measures include attitude attitudes
(0.665), the direct effects of wearing masks (0.198) and the indirect effects of Q6(0.134).
In view of the above conclusions, the following suggestions are put forward:
1) Strengthen physical exercise, strong physique and positive mentality are the good
medicine to deal with the disease, and regular and quantitative physical exercise should be carried
out at ordinary times; 2) strengthen the study on the knowledge of infectious diseases, learn more
about infectious diseases from the knowledge level, and have appropriate response measures for
the corresponding ones, and do not panic in the face of sudden infectious diseases; 3) keep good
health habits and wash hands frequently More ventilation, frequent disinfection, avoiding contact
with virus from the body, reducing the probability of getting sick.
Keywords: health awareness; SPSS; text mining; Python; structural equation model
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