IPCC6第二工作组报告《气候变化2022：影响、适应和脆弱性》全文FullReport资源-CSDN文库

版权申诉

IPCC

5星 · 超过95%的资源 88 浏览量 2022-03-02 18:31:34 上传评论 1 收藏 280.67MB PDF 举报

资源详情

资源评论

APPROVED Summary for Policymakers IPCC WGII Sixth Assessment Report

Subject to Copyedit SPM-1 Total pages: 35

Summary for Policymakers

Drafting Authors: Hans-O. Pörtner (Germany), Debra C. Roberts (South Africa), Helen Adams (United

Kingdom), Carolina Adler (Switzerland/Chile/Australia), Paulina Aldunce (Chile), Elham Ali (Egypt),

Rawshan Ara Begum (Malaysia/Australia/Bangladesh), Richard Betts (United Kingdom), Rachel Bezner Kerr

(Canada/USA), Robbert Biesbroek (The Netherlands), Joern Birkmann (Germany), Kathryn Bowen

(Australia), Edwin Castellanos (Guatemala), Gueladio Cissé (Mauritania/Switzerland/France), Andrew

Constable (Australia), Wolfgang Cramer (France), David Dodman (Jamaica/United Kingdom), Siri H. Eriksen

(Norway), Andreas Fischlin (Switzerland), Matthias Garschagen (Germany), Bruce Glavovic (New

Zealand/South Africa), Elisabeth Gilmore (USA/Canada), Marjolijn Haasnoot (The Netherlands), Sherilee

Harper (Canada), Toshihiro Hasegawa (Japan), Bronwyn Hayward (New Zealand), Yukiko Hirabayashi

(Japan), Mark Howden (Australia), Kanungwe Kalaba (Zambia), Wolfgang Kiessling (Germany), Rodel Lasco

(Philippines), Judy Lawrence (New Zealand), Maria Fernanda Lemos (Brazil), Robert Lempert (USA), Debora

Ley (Mexico/Guatemala), Tabea Lissner (Germany), Salvador Lluch-Cota (Mexico), Sina Loeschke

(Germany), Simone Lucatello (Mexico), Yong Luo (China), Brendan Mackey (Australia), Shobha Maharaj

(Germany/Trinidad and Tobago), Carlos Mendez (Venezuela), Katja Mintenbeck (Germany), Vincent Möller

(Germany), Mariana Moncassim Vale (Brazil), Mike D Morecroft (United Kingdom), Aditi Mukherji (India),

Michelle Mycoo (Trinidad and Tobago), Tero Mustonen (Finland), Johanna Nalau (Australia/Finland),

Andrew Okem (SouthAfrica/Nigeria), Jean Pierre Ometto (Brazil), Camille Parmesan (France/USA/United

Kingdom), Mark Pelling (United Kingdom), Patricia Pinho (Brazil), Elvira Poloczanska (United

Kingdom/Australia), Marie-Fanny Racault (United Kingdom/France), Diana Reckien (The

Netherlands/Germany), Joy Pereira (Malaysia), Aromar Revi (India), Steven Rose (USA), Roberto Sanchez-

Rodriguez (Mexico), E. Lisa F. Schipper (Sweden/United Kingdom), Daniela Schmidt (United

Kingdom/Germany), David Schoeman (Australia), Rajib Shaw (Japan), Chandni Singh (India), William

Solecki (USA), Lindsay Stringer (United Kingdom), Adelle Thomas (Bahamas), Edmond Totin (Benin),

Christopher Trisos (South Africa), Maarten van Aalst (The Netherlands), David Viner (United Kingdom),

Morgan Wairiu (Solomon Islands), Rachel Warren (United Kingdom), Pius Yanda (Tanzania), Zelina Zaiton

Ibrahim (Malaysia)

Drafting Contributing Authors: Rita Adrian (Germany), Marlies Craig (South Africa), Frode Degvold

(Norway), Kristie L. Ebi (USA), Katja Frieler (Germany), Ali Jamshed (Germany/Pakistan), Joanna McMillan

(German/Australia), Reinhard Mechler (Austria), Mark New (South Africa), Nick Simpson (South

Africa/Zimbabwe), Nicola Stevens (South Africa)

Visual Conception and Information Design: Andrés Alegría (Germany/Honduras), Stefanie Langsdorf

(Germany)

Date: 27 February 2022 06:00 UTC

APPROVED Summary for Policymakers IPCC WGII Sixth Assessment Report

Subject to Copyedit SPM-2 Total pages: 35

Table of Contents

SPM.A: Introduction ........................................................................................................................................ 3

Box SPM.1: AR6 Common Climate Dimensions, Global Warming Levels and Reference Periods ......... 6

SPM.B: Observed and Projected Impacts and Risks .................................................................................... 7

Observed Impacts from Climate Change ................................................................................................... 7

Vulnerability and Exposure of Ecosystems and People ........................................................................... 11

Risks in the near term (2021-2040) .......................................................................................................... 13

Mid to Long-term Risks (2041–2100) ....................................................................................................... 14

Complex, Compound and Cascading Risks .............................................................................................. 18

Impacts of Temporary Overshoot ............................................................................................................. 20

SPM.C: Adaptation Measures and Enabling Conditions ........................................................................... 20

Current Adaptation and its Benefits ......................................................................................................... 20

Future Adaptation Options and their Feasibility ..................................................................................... 23

Limits to Adaptation ................................................................................................................................. 26

Avoiding Maladaptation ........................................................................................................................... 28

Enabling Conditions ................................................................................................................................. 29

SPM.D: Climate Resilient Development ....................................................................................................... 30

Conditions for Climate Resilient Development ........................................................................................ 30

Enabling Climate Resilient Development ................................................................................................. 32

Climate Resilient Development for Natural and Human Systems ............................................................ 33

Achieving Climate Resilient Development ............................................................................................... 35

APPROVED Summary for Policymakers IPCC WGII Sixth Assessment Report

Subject to Copyedit SPM-3 Total pages: 35

SPM.A: Introduction

This Summary for Policymakers (SPM) presents key findings of the Working Group II (WGII) contribution

to the Sixth Assessment Report (AR6) of the IPCC

. The report builds on the WGII contribution to the Fifth

Assessment Report (AR5) of the IPCC, three Special Reports

, and the Working Group I (WGI) contribution

to the AR6 cycle.

This report recognizes the interdependence of climate, ecosystems and biodiversity

, and human societies

(Figure SPM.1) and integrates knowledge more strongly across the natural, ecological, social and economic

sciences than earlier IPCC assessments. The assessment of climate change impacts and risks as well as

adaptation is set against concurrently unfolding non-climatic global trends e.g., biodiversity loss, overall

unsustainable consumption of natural resources, land and ecosystem degradation, rapid urbanisation, human

demographic shifts, social and economic inequalities and a pandemic.

The scientific evidence for each key finding is found in the 18 chapters of the underlying report and in the 7

cross-chapter papers as well as the integrated synthesis presented in the Technical Summary (hereafter TS)

and referred to in curly brackets {}. Based on scientific understanding, key findings can be formulated as

statements of fact or associated with an assessed level of confidence using the IPCC calibrated language

. The

WGII Global to Regional Atlas (Annex I) facilitates exploration of key synthesis findings across the WGII

regions.

Decision IPCC/XLVI-3, The assessment covers scientific literature accepted for publication by 1 September 2021.

The three Special Reports are: ‘Global Warming of 1.5°C. An IPCC Special Report on the impacts of global warming of 1.5°C above

pre-industrial levels and related global greenhouse gas emission pathways, in the context of strengthening the global response to the

threat of climate change, sustainable development, and efforts to eradicate poverty (SR1.5)’; ‘Climate Change and Land. An IPCC

Special Report on climate change, desertification, land degradation, sustainable land management, food security, and greenhouse gas

fluxes in terrestrial ecosystems (SRCCL)’; ‘IPCC Special Report on the Ocean and Cryosphere in a Changing Climate (SROCC)’

Biodiversity: Biodiversity or biological diversity means the variability among living organisms from all sources including, among

other things, terrestrial, marine and other aquatic ecosystems, and the ecological complexes of which they are part; this includes

diversity within species, between species, and of ecosystems.

Each finding is grounded in an evaluation of underlying evidence and agreement. A level of confidence is expressed using five

qualifiers: very low, low, medium, high and very high, and typeset in italics, e.g., medium confidence. The following terms have been

used to indicate the assessed likelihood of an outcome or a result: virtually certain 99-100% probability, very likely 90-100%, likely

66-100%, as likely as not 33-66%, unlikely 0-33%, very unlikely 0-10%, exceptionally unlikely 0-1%. Assessed likelihood is typeset

in italics, e.g., very likely. This is consistent with AR5 and the other AR6 Reports.

剩余3675页未读，继续阅读

评论收藏

内容反馈

版权申诉

ynlchw

2022-08-26

超赞的资源，感谢资源主分享，大家一起进步！

IPCC6第二工作组报告《气候变化2022：影响、适应和脆弱性》全文FullReport

评论9

最新资源

IPCC6第二工作组报告《气候变化2022：影响、适应和脆弱性》全文FullReport

评论9

最新资源

相关推荐

IPCC6第二工作组报告《气候变化2022：影响、适应和脆弱性》TechnicalSummary

IPCC第六次评估报告

IPCC6第二工作组报告《气候变化2022：影响、适应和脆弱性》SummaryForPolicymakers

IPCC第六次评估报告第一工作组报告

IPCC第4次评估报告.pdf

表征基于农作物的农村系统对气候变化和变化的脆弱性：埃塞俄比亚西北部达布斯流域的农业生态学特定经验证据

ipcc-2008年气候变化与水的特别报告

IPCC4第一工作组的报告 - 自然科学基础

论文研究 - 气候变化对东非孤立山区农林树种分布和碳储量的影响

IPCC第四次评估报告科学要点

IPCC第四次评估报告中对不确定性的处理方法

联合国环境署执行主任在IPCC气候科学报告发布会的发言.pdf

论文研究 - 气候变化预测及其对索马里的潜在影响

论文研究 - 使用分布式水文-土壤-植被模型的气候变化对巴西小源流域水文的影响

iphone6-广电IPCC文件.zip

气候变化对黄河源区水资源的影响

IPCC-SREX区域，用于全球气候风险评估

IPCC第4次评估报告

论文研究 - 利用区域气候模式PRECIS预测越境Koshi河流域的未来降水和温度变化

ChatGPT资料合集

PHP大作业_课程设计_教务在线系统

GB_T 36073-2018 数据管理能力成熟度评估模型.pdf

标准的性能测试报告模板

简洁大气研究生开题报告ppt模板.rar

软件测试报告(参考样例).doc

最新个人征信报告模板.zip

北邮声控LED小夜灯仿真报告

2023小米澎湃OS技术白皮书V1.0.pdf

cisco 模拟器 校园网 课程设计 毕业设计

cisco 模拟器校园网课程设计毕业设计