The Standish Group New Year’s Predictions.pdf
版权申诉
92 浏览量
2022-06-30
23:07:35
上传
评论
收藏 3MB PDF 举报
Copyright © 2021 The Standish Group International, Inc 1
Standish Group
New Year’s Predictions
2022
The Standish Group
has been presenting our annual
New Year’s predictions for our followers for
30 years now—since 1991. We estimate our
forecasting has a hit rate of 80%, even with
some very way-out prognostications. The
predictions in this report were created by Jim
Johnson, Hans Mulder, and The Standish Group,
but they were inuenced by surveys and
interviews of leading technology executives.
Another annual tradition we follow is to announce what we believe will be the most popular term or
acronym for the coming year. Two years ago it was “AIML” (Articial Intelligence Machine Learning). Last year
it was “Team”. Other years showcased “enterprise,” “cloud,” and “disruption.”
This year, the word is “kinder”—
dened as having or showing a
friendly, generous, sympathetic, or
warm-hearted nature. For example:
• “Alternatives to fossil fuels are kinder to the
environment.”
• “My current boss is much kinder than the
one before.”
• “You could be a little kinder to John.”
This year, we’re presenting our pre-
dictions in the form of new rules.
Our ve new rules/predictions to live
by during 2022 are:
• The Golden Rule
• The Ben & Jerry Rule
• Home Rules
• The 80/20 Rule
• The Moon Shot Rule
We also include a bonus prediction from Hans Mulder, our European research
director, who expects “democratic reforms.”
Thanks to Bruce Barnes, Tim Chou, Deb Cote, Jim Crear, and Harry Scott for their ne and important feedback.
资源评论
