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THE INTERNATIONAL ROADMAP FOR DEVICES AND SYSTEMS: 2021
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List of Figures
Figure ES1 The new ecosystem of the electronics’ industry based on semiconductor
technologies. .............................................................................................. viii
Figure ES2 Forecasted Electronic System and IC Market and Capital Expenditure ............ 1
Figure ES3 Zoom communications experienced an exponential growth in 2020 ................. 2
Figure ES4 Strong units growth forecasted for 2021 ........................................................... 2
Figure ES5 Demand for higher data rates concurrently fueling demand of billions of
devices ........................................................................................................ 3
Figure ES6 Semiconductor Forecasted Growth will Continue in 2021 ................................ 3
Figure ES7 Optoelectronics growing at 13% CGR for 10 years .......................................... 4
Figure ES8 Metal pitch scaling exceeding expectation in 2020! .......................................... 4
Figure ES9 Devices will continue to aggressively scale in the next 5 years ........................ 5
Figure ES10 R&D spending remains under control ............................................................... 5
Figure ES11 Scaling progressing unabated with EUV technology ........................................ 6
Figure ES12 AI/ML exceeded human performance .............................................................. 6
Figure ES13 Data centers moving closer to the edge ........................................................... 7
Figure ES14 Beyond CMOS continues to improve towards goal .......................................... 7
Figure ES15 Quantum promises super exponential functionality .......................................... 8
Figure ES16 NAND density/cost challenging HDD ............................................................... 9
Figure ES17 Nanoribbons performances exceed FinFETs ................................................... 9
Figure ES18 Progress in stacking CMOS for logic applications .......................................... 10
Figure ES19 Introductory cost of 5G phones may challenge the consumers ...................... 11
Figure ES20 Data center growth continues to accelerate ................................................... 11
Figure ES21 Traffic within data center is main limiting factor .............................................. 12
Figure ES22 Sensors data surge at the edge will require proximity of data centers ............ 12
Figure ES23 Quantum centers require fast network for ubiquitous access ......................... 13
Figure ES24 Pandemic spurs PC sales! ............................................................................. 14
Figure ES25 Sales of smartphones declined in 2020 .......................................................... 14
Figure ES26 Clock frequency limited to less than 10GHz by power wall ............................. 15
Figure ES27 Original technology node definition ................................................................ 16
Figure ES28 Industry “adaptation” of technology node definition ........................................ 17
Figure ES29 IRDS comprehensive technology node definition ........................................... 17
Figure ES30 Devices will continue to aggressively scale in the next 5 years ...................... 18
Figure ES31 Metal pitch scaling exceeding expectation in 2020! ........................................ 19
Figure ES32 Data center growth continues to accelerate ................................................... 20
Figure ES33 Traffic within data center is main limiting factor .............................................. 21
Figure ES34 IFT structure of the IRDS ............................................................................... 30
Figure ES35 TOPS (data points) and the resulting TOPS/W (assessed against the
green dotted lines) as a function of reported system power in (a) the
training and (b) the inference. .................................................................... 32
Figure ES36 Prediction of MPU migration multicores outlined in 1989 ................................ 42
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