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ETC2022年2季度长途旅行晴雨表.pdf
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ETC2022年2季度长途旅行晴雨表.pdf
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LONG-HAUL TRAVEL BAROMETER
• Target - Potential travellers from Brazil, Canada, China, Japan, Russia and the US.
• Method – 1,000 online interviews with national representatives (18-70 years old), per market,
per wave.
• Frequency: Interviews are conducted 3 times per year and provide insights about the travel
horizons: January-April; May-August and September-December.
TRAVEL THEMES EXAMINED:
• People’s intention to travel outside their region of residence*
• Concerns and barriers to travel
• Important criteria for the selection of destinations
• Travel preferences regarding destinations, experiences and mode of transportation
*In all markets, the survey monitors respondents’ intention to travel outside the region of residence
(e.g. North America for the USA). The only exception is the Russian Federation, where intention to
travel outside the Commonwealth of Independent States is measured.
Data files are only available to the members of partner organisations.
The survey is meant to gauge travellers’ attitudes and intentions, and is not meant to quantify
demand levels. For more information on the index calculation please consult the methodology.
The results of the survey are enriched with social sentiment data about Europe’s attractiveness
(TRAVELSAT© Pulse). This analysis discloses the themes that drive positive and
negative web conversations regarding Destination Europe. The detailed results of the social web
conversation analysis is available here: Tracking e-reputation of Europe in Long Haul Markets,
2022 April.
HOW TO READ THE RESULTS?
Intention to travel is measured in an index that reflects the dominant sentiment expressed by a market;
either positive or negative. The index is tied to a base of 100. Values above 100 indicate a positive
evolution, whereas values below 100 indicate negative attitudes towards travel in a given time period.
The Long-Haul Travel Barometers capture people’s intention to travel abroad and are not meant to
quantify the prospect demand levels.
Long-Haul Travel Sentiment Index (base 100, 2015)
Above 100 =
Positive evolution
Under 100 =
Negative evolution
Values on this graph are fictive
• Insights in the following slides refer to the travel horizon May-August 2022
• The fieldwork was conducted in April 2022
• Results of the social media conversation analysis are indicated with the following symbol:
The analysis covers conversations made between January-April 2022
METHODOLOGY
This project is realised with
the support of:
90
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89
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136
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113
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97
149
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101
93
150
54
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75
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79
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146
89
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108
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Jan-Apr'19
May-Aug'19
Sep-Dec'19
Jan-Apr'20
May-Aug'20
Sep-Dec'20
Jan-Apr'21
May-Aug'21
Sep-Dec'21
Jan-Apr'22
May-Aug'22
Jan-Apr'19
May-Aug'19
Sep-Dec'19
Jan-Apr'20
May-Aug'20
Sep-Dec'20
Jan-Apr'21
May-Aug'21
Sep-Dec'21
Jan-Apr'22
May-Aug'22
Jan-Apr'19
May-Aug'19
Sep-Dec'19
Jan-Apr'20
May-Aug'20
Sep-Dec'20
Jan-Apr'21
May-Aug'21
Sep-Dec'21
Jan-Apr'22
May-Aug'22
To Europe Long-haul index base (100) 100
JAPAN CHINA
Evolution of intention to travel long-haul and to Europe (4 months horizon)
Index Base:100 (>100 = expansion, <100 = decline)
1
LONG-HAUL TRAVEL SENTIMENT REMAINS WEAK AMID WEAKENING GLOBAL ECONOMIC PROSPECTS, COVID-19
PANDEMIC, AND GEOPOLITICAL SHOCKWAVES FROM RUSSIA'S INVASION OF UKRAINE
BRAZIL
• Compared to other markets, Brazilian respondents demonstrated a more positive attitude toward long-haul travel with an index at 149points. The news around the LATAM Airlines Group
resuming its air capacity to popular European destinations has positively impacted travel sentiment, with 1 in 2 Brazilians planning to visit Europe in the next four months.
• In Japan, the eagerness to travel overseas remains weak (79p), although some improvement is visible compared to previous waves. When Europe is the destination, the sentiment is slightly
higher (93), but in reality, only 14% of all respondents shared plans to visit the region in summer 2022, which is not surprising considering the limited connectivity between Japan and Europe at
the moment.
• In China, consumer confidence is growing, but the Covid-19 outbreaks and the strict pandemic policies continue to hamper the desire for overseas trips, especially to Europe, where the index
values continue to stagnate under the 100p base. Nevertheless, there has been some gradual improvement since summer 2021, and with the expectations of China reopening towards the end
of the second half of the year, there might be some more positive outlook for the last months of the year.
1
The index values for Canada are not yet available because this is the first summer research wave conducted in this market. The evolution of the Canadian index will be visible in September 2022
n/a
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