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6.Disruption ahead Deloitte’s point of view on IBM Watson
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Cognitive computing is a rapidly evolving technology that holds the potential to reshape how work gets done, how businesses grow, and how markets and industries evolve
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March 2015
Disruption ahead
Deloitte’s point of view on IBM Watson
Contents
Smart machines and cognitive computing
• Cognitive computing enters the enterprise
• Our take: the disruptive power of cognitive computing
• Here comes Watson
IBM’s billion-dollar baby
• IBM investments in Watson
• Sizing up Watson’s competition
• What makes Watson unique
• The Watson Ecosystem
Building blocks of the Watson architecture
• Architecture overview
• Watson Advisors
• Watson Platform Components
• Watson Platform Services
• Watson Data Services
• Watson Foundation Products
Let’s pick Watson’s brain
• How Watson works
• Problems suitable for Watson
• Guidelines for an effective Watson knowledge database
• Data sources usable by Watson
• Problems not suitable for Watson
• Our take: Watson’s limitations
Watson in action
• Watson use cases
• Case study: changing the world of health care
Realizing business value with Watson
• Steps to a Watson solution
• Deloitte is positioned to help
• Deloitte’s cognitive computing offerings
• Next steps
Let’s talk
Meet Watson
Cognitive computing is a rapidly evolving technology that holds the
potential to reshape how work gets done, how businesses grow, and how
markets and industries evolve.
While many technology players—large and small—are investing in
developing cognitive computing or artificial intelligence (AI) solutions, as of
March 2015, IBM is the only company marketing a cognitive computing
platform that’s specifically designed to support the development of a
broad range of enterprise solutions. Deloitte has joined IBM in investing
time, money, and people toward applying Watson technologies to help
solve our client’s business problems.
IBM Watson combines natural language processing, machine learning, and
real-time computing power to sift through massive amounts of
unstructured data—documents, emails, journals, social posts, and more—
to answer questions fast. Like humans, Watson learns from experience and
instruction.
Cognitive computing is still in its infancy. However, it’s not too soon to
imagine how your business and industry could be positively disrupted by
this new technology. Our goal for publishing this white paper is not to
provide definitive answers—the technology is changing too fast—but to
help you understand the fundamentals of Watson and cognitive
computing and to inspire you to begin planning how you can take
advantage of these new technologies.
Disruption ahead: Deloitte’s point of view on IBM Watson2
Smart machines and cognitive computing
Cognitive computing enters the enterprise
Developing machines capable of exhibiting human-
like intelligence has been a goal of artificial
intelligence (AI) since its inception as a research
field in the mid-1950s. Natural language processing
and machine learning are two of the subfields of
AI. While AI has matured considerably over the
decades, advances in processing power and data
storage make using AI more feasible for solving
enterprise problems.
Today’s smart machines with AI capabilities are
already changing how humans work. Here are
three examples:
• Machines that enhance human capabilities, such
as an employee using a wearable computing
device to answer almost any question.
• Machines replace humans, such as a cognitive
virtual assistant used as an automated customer
service representative.
• Humans and machines work side by side, such as
a warehouse employee working with a mobile
robot to move boxes.
Deloitte’s Tech Trends 2015 points out that the
first example--augmenting human capabilities and
knowledge--could hold more promise for business
by amplifying our intelligence for more effective
decision making.
Cognitive computing is a relatively new term, often
used as a synonym for artificial intelligence. Unlike
traditional computer systems, which are
programmed by people to perform certain tasks,
cognitive systems have the ability to learn through
their interactions with both data and humans. They
can even adapt and get smarter over time.
Cognitive computing is part of an even larger trend,
broadly referred to as “big data.” IBM estimated that
80% of data today is unstructured (i.e., in the form
of natural language), with the remaining 20% being
structured data (i.e., in the form of rows and
columns). Cognitive computing is primarily focused
on unstructured data.
As with any new technological development, early
adoption accompanied by smart strategies and
effective execution can position businesses for
competitive advantages that can last for years. At
Deloitte, we share Gartner’s view that “the risk of
investing too late in smart machines is likely greater
than the risk of investing too soon.”
“For Gartner clients, the risk
of investing too late in smart
machines is likely greater than
the risk of investing too soon.”
IBM Bets on New Watson Unit to Ignite
Smart Machine Era Growth
Gartner Inc., January 14, 2014
Disruption ahead: Deloitte’s point of view on IBM Watson3
Cognitive computing is starting to emerge as a real opportunity and threat for many businesses. It is a
component of the broader trend around big data, but it is particularly important because cognitive
computing focuses on the realm of unstructured data, which is clearly dominant in volume over that of
structured data. If we embrace and harness the power of cognitive computing, we can help our
clients positively disrupt their businesses and industries. It may even hold transformative potential for
Deloitte’s businesses.
Deloitte’s Tech Trends 2014 specifically called out Cognitive Analytics™ as a potential business
disruptor. Deloitte coined the term “Cognitive Analytics” to describe the application of analytics and
cognitive computing technologies to enhance human decisions.
In November 2014, Deloitte University Press published the article, Demystifying artificial intelligence:
What business leaders need to know about cognitive technologies, clarifying the distinction
between the field of artificial intelligence (AI) and the technologies emanating from it, which we call
cognitive technologies. The article provides an overview of some of the key cognitive technologies.
And it argues that, driven by billions of dollars of investment in commercialization and ongoing
improvement in performance, cognitive technologies are destined to have a growing impact on
business over the next three to five years and beyond.
In January 2015, Cognitive Technologies: The real opportunities for business was published
based on an analysis of over 100 recent applications and pilots of cognitive technologies across 17
sectors. The report identifies the three main categories of application of cognitive technologies:
product, process, and insight. And it offers a framework organizations can use to guide decisions
about investing these categories in technologies.
In Deloitte’s Tech Trends 2015, Amplified Intelligence suggests that AI’s more promising application
is to augment workers’ capabilities, rather than replace them.
Our take: the disruptive power of cognitive computing
Disruption ahead: Deloitte’s point of view on IBM Watson4
Here comes Watson
You’ve probably heard about Watson’s Jeopardy!
victory in 2011 against two human contestants.
Winning the TV game show required Watson to
demonstrate encyclopedic knowledge, to decipher
convoluted statements, and to deliver lightning-fast
responses. Watson’s performance was not flawless,
but it still won by a large margin. In addition to being
an ingenious PR stunt, the event was seen as a new
milestone in the development of AI—and possibly
even the beginning of a new era in computing.
IBM sees cognitive computing as the third major
technological wave that could transform our world:
• Tabulating Systems Era (late 1800s to 1940s).
Mechanical devices were invented that helped
people organize data and make calculations.
• Programmable Systems Era (1940s to 2010s).
Scientists have built electronic programmable
computers, which humans program to perform
specific tasks. This era has led to huge
technological leaps—space exploration, creation
of the Internet, and more.
• Cognitive Systems Era (2010s). Cognitive systems
are fundamentally different from traditional
computers; cognitive systems learn from their
interactions with data and humans—essentially
continuously reprogramming themselves.
The changes that are coming over the next 10 to
20 years—building on IBM’s Watson technology—
could transform how we live, work, and learn.
Figure 1 illustrates IBM’s progress with Watson.
Figure 1
IBM has consistently improved Watson since its 2011 Jeopardy! debut
2880 cores
5+ days to retain Wikipedia,
general corpus
2-3 sentences input
Single-user system
Single power 750, 240% faster
<day to ingest
Medical corpus
20 pages of input
Thousands of size
Watson Engagement
Advisor and Watson
Developers Ecosystem
Watson cloud service
Few hours to ingest
Broad industry corpus
Dialogue chaining
Psycholinguistics
8 cognitive API services
Watson Discovery Advisor
and Watson Analytics
Size
Spreed
Corpus
Flexibility
Users
Size
Spreed
Corpus
Flexibility
Users
Size
Spreed
Corpus
Flexibility
Users
Jeopardy! Watson offerings Cognitive services
2011 2013 2014
Disruption ahead: Deloitte’s point of view on IBM Watson5
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