%读取数据
clc
clear
close all
clear global ver
%训练数据和预测数据
load maydata1.mat
input_train=num(n(1:m),1:8)';
output_train=num(n(1:m),9)';
input_test=num(n(m+1:end),1:8)';
output_test=num(n(m+1:end),9)';
[AllSamInn,minAllSamIn,maxAllSamIn,AllSamOutn,minAllSamOut,maxAllSamOut]=premnmx(input_train,output_train);
EvaSamIn=input_test;
EvaSamInn=tramnmx(EvaSamIn,minAllSamIn,maxAllSamIn); % preprocessing
Ptrain = AllSamInn;
Ttrain = AllSamOutn;
indim=8;
hiddennum=20;
outdim=1;
% Initialize PSO
vmax=0.0151; % Maximum velocity
minerr=0.001; % Minimum error
wmax=0.90;
wmin=0.30;
% global itmax; %Maximum iteration number
itmax=100;
c1=2;
c2=2;
for iter=1:itmax
W(iter)=wmax-((wmax-wmin)/itmax)*iter; % weight declining linearly
end
% particles are initialized between (a,b) randomly
a=-1;
b=1;
%Between (m,n), (which can also be started from zero)
m=-1;
n=1;
% global N; % number of particles
N=20;
% global D; % length of particle
D=(indim+1)*hiddennum+(hiddennum+1)*outdim;
% Initialize positions of particles
% rand('state',sum(100*clock));
X=a+(b-a)*rand(N,D,1); %取值范围[-1,1] rand * 2 - 1 ,rand 产生[0,1]之间的随机数
%Initialize velocities of particles
V=0.2*(m+(n-m)*rand(N,D,1));
%
% global fvrec;
MinFit=[];
BestFit=[];
net=newff(minmax(Ptrain),[hiddennum,outdim],{'logsig','tansig'},'traingdx');
fitness=fitcal(X,net,indim,hiddennum,outdim,D,Ptrain,Ttrain,minAllSamOut,maxAllSamOut);
fvrec(:,1,1)=fitness(:,1,1);
[C,I]=min(fitness(:,1,1));
MinFit=[MinFit C];
BestFit=[BestFit C];
L(:,1,1)=fitness(:,1,1); %record the fitness of particle of every iterations
B(1,1,1)=C; %record the minimum fitness of particle
gbest(1,:,1)=X(I,:,1); %the global best x in population
%Matrix composed of gbest vector
for p=1:N
G(p,:,1)=gbest(1,:);
end
for ii=1:N;
pbest(ii,:,1)=X(ii,:);
end
V(:,:,2)=W(1)*V(:,:,1)+c1*rand*(pbest(:,:,1)-X(:,:,1))+c2*rand*(G(:,:,1)-X(:,:,1));
for ni=1:N
for di=1:D
if V(ni,di,2)>vmax
V(ni,di,2)=vmax;
elseif V(ni,di,2)<-vmax
V(ni,di,2)=-vmax;
else
V(ni,di,2)=V(ni,di,2);
end
end
end
X(:,:,2)=X(:,:,1)+V(:,:,2);
for ni=1:N
for di=1:D
if X(ni,di,2)>1
X(ni,di,2)=1;
elseif X(ni,di,2)<-1
X(ni,di,2)=-1;
else
X(ni,di,2)=X(ni,di,2);
end
end
end
%******************************************************
for jj=2:itmax
disp('Iteration and Current Best Fitness')
disp(jj-1)
disp(B(1,1,jj-1))
reset =1; % reset = 1时设置为粒子群过分收敛时将其打散,如果=1则不打散
if reset==1
bit = 1;
for k=1:N
bit = bit&(range(X(k,:))<0.02);
end
if bit==1 % bit=1时对粒子位置及速度进行随机重置
for ik = 1:N
X(ik,:) = funx; % present 当前位置,随机初始化
X(ik,:) = [0.02*rand()-0.01 0.02*rand()-0.01]; % 速度初始化
end
end
end
% Calculation of new positions
fitness=fitcal(X,net,indim,hiddennum,outdim,D,Ptrain,Ttrain,minAllSamOut,maxAllSamOut);
[C,I]=min(fitness(:,1,jj));
MinFit=[MinFit C];
BestFit=[BestFit min(MinFit)];
L(:,1,jj)=fitness(:,1,jj);
B(1,1,jj)=C;
gbest(1,:,jj)=X(I,:,jj);
[C,I]=min(B(1,1,:));
% keep gbest is the best particle of all have occured
if B(1,1,jj)<=C
gbest(1,:,jj)=gbest(1,:,jj);
else
gbest(1,:,jj)=gbest(1,:,I);
end
if C<=minerr
break
end
%Matrix composed of gbest vector
if jj>=itmax
break
end
for p=1:N
G(p,:,jj)=gbest(1,:,jj);
end
for ii=1:N;
[C,I]=min(L(ii,1,:));
if L(ii,1,jj)<=C
pbest(ii,:,jj)=X(ii,:,jj);
else
pbest(ii,:,jj)=X(ii,:,I);
end
end
V(:,:,jj+1)=W(jj)*V(:,:,jj)+c1*rand*(pbest(:,:,jj)-X(:,:,jj))+c2*rand*(G(:,:,jj)-X(:,:,jj));
for ni=1:N
for di=1:D
if V(ni,di,jj+1)>vmax
V(ni,di,jj+1)=vmax;
elseif V(ni,di,jj+1)<-vmax
V(ni,di,jj+1)=-vmax;
else
V(ni,di,jj+1)=V(ni,di,jj+1);
end
end
end
X(:,:,jj+1)=X(:,:,jj)+V(:,:,jj+1);
for ni=1:N
for di=1:D
if X(ni,di,jj+1)>1
X(ni,di,jj+1)=1;
elseif X(ni,di,jj+1)<-1
X(ni,di,jj+1)=-1;
else
X(ni,di,jj+1)=X(ni,di,jj+1);
end
end
end
end
disp('Iteration and Current Best Fitness')
disp(jj)
disp(B(1,1,jj))
disp('Global Best Fitness and Occurred Iteration')
[C,I]=min(B(1,1,:));
% simulation network 网络拟合
for t=1:hiddennum
x2iw(t,:)=gbest(1,((t-1)*indim+1):t*indim,jj);
end
for r=1:outdim
x2lw(r,:)=gbest(1,(indim*hiddennum+1):(indim*hiddennum+hiddennum),jj);
end
x2b=gbest(1,((indim+1)*hiddennum+1):D,jj);
x2b1=x2b(1:hiddennum).';
x2b2=x2b(hiddennum+1:hiddennum+outdim).';
net.IW{1,1}=x2iw;
net.LW{2,1}=x2lw;
net.b{1}=x2b1;
net.b{2}=x2b2;
[BPoutput1,error1,net] = bpp();
%% BP网络训练
%网络进化参数
net.trainParam.epochs=5000;
net.trainParam.lr=0.1;
net.trainParam.goal=0.0001;
% net.trainParam.show=100;
% net.trainParam.showWindow=1;
net=newff(AllSamInn,AllSamOutn,[hiddennum,outdim],{'logsig','tansig'},'traingdx');
tic
%网络训练
net=train(net,AllSamInn,AllSamOutn);
toc
EvaSamOutn = sim(net,EvaSamInn);
EvaSamOut = postmnmx(EvaSamOutn,minAllSamOut,maxAllSamOut);%反归一化
error=EvaSamOut-output_test;
errormape=(EvaSamOut-output_test)./output_test;
p1 = sum(abs(error1))/33;
[ EvaSamOut2 , BestFit1 ] = apsofun( );
figure(1)
grid
hold on
plot((BestFit),'r-');
hold on
plot((BestFit1),'b-');
legend('pso','自适应pso')
title(['粒子群算法优化bp ' '最优代数=' I]);
xlabel('进化代数');ylabel('误差');
disp('适应度变量');
set(gca,'fontsize',12)
figure
grid
plot((BestFit),'r');
title(['粒子群算法优化bp ' '最优代数=' I]);
xlabel('进化代数');ylabel('误差');
disp('适应度变量');
set(gca,'fontsize',12)
figure
grid
plot(EvaSamOut,':og')
hold on
plot(BPoutput1,':ob')
hold on
plot(output_test,'-*r');
legend('粒子群优化BP预测输出','BP预测输出','期望输出')
title('粒子群优化BP网络预测输出','fontsize',12)
ylabel('风电功率')
xlabel('样本','fontsize',12)
set(gca,'fontsize',12)
figure
grid
plot(EvaSamOut2,':og')
hold on
plot(BPoutput1,':ob')
hold on
plot(output_test,'-*r');
legend('自适应粒子群优化BP预测输出','BP预测输出','期望输出')
title('粒子群优化BP网络预测输出','fontsize',12)
ylabel('风电功率')
xlabel('样本','fontsize',12)
set(gca,'fontsize',12)
figure
grid
plot(EvaSamOut,':og')
hold on
hold on
plot(output_test,'-*r');
ylabel('风电功率')
legend('粒子群优化BP预测输出','期望输出')
title('粒子群优化BP网络预测输出','fontsize',12)
xlabel('样本','fontsize',12)
set(gca,'fontsize',12)
figure
plot(BPoutput1,':og')
hold on
plot(output_test,'-*');
legend('预测输出','期望输出')
title('·BP神经网络','fontsize',12)
ylabel('风电功率')
xlabel('样本','fontsize',12)
set(gca,'fontsize',12)
%预测误差
error1=BPoutput1-output_test;
junfanggen = mse(BPoutput1-output_test);
figure
plot(error1,'-k*')
title('BP网络预测误差','fontsize',12)
ylabel('误差','fontsize',12)
xlabel('样本','fontsize',12)
%axis([1 2500 -0.5 0.5])
set(gca,'fontsize',12)
[MSE0,RMSE0, MBE0, MAE0 ] =MSE_RMSE_MBE_MAE(output_test,BPoutput1);%均方误差 均方根误差 平均绝对误差 平均偏差
R0 = R_2(output_test,BPoutput1);%拟合优度
can0 = [MSE0,RMSE0, MBE0, MAE0 R0];
[MSE1,RMSE1, MBE1, MAE1 ] =MSE_RMSE_MBE_MAE(output_test,EvaSamOut);%均方误差 均方根误差 平均绝对误差 平均偏差
R1 = R_2(output_test,EvaSamOut);%拟合优度
can1 = [MSE1,RMSE1, MBE1, MAE1 R1];
[MSE2,RMSE2, MBE2, MAE2 ] =MSE_RMSE_MBE_MAE(ou