Problem Chosen
F
2022
MCM/ICM
Summary Sheet
Team Control Number
2224021
Harvest in Space! Outlook & Equity
Summary
It has always been a puzzle how to allocate resources harvested in space. The advent of
asteroid mining seems to even compound the challenges of maintaining global equity. Therefore,
based on reality of the current and historical situations, our goal is to propose a global equity
evaluation system and study the impact of asteroid mining using it. We present our work as four
phases.
Firstly, we form the definition of global equity on the basis of relative literature. We establish
a five-dimensional indicator system, HELEN, to evaluate global equity. The dimensions are
Health & Education, Economy, Life Quality, Environment and Natural Resources. For each
dimension, there are 2 to 5 indexes for quantification. In order to combine the advantages of
both empirical judgment and objective data, we decide to use Analytic Hierarchy Process
(AHP) and Entropy Weight Method (EWM) to calculate the weights. Then we use regional
comparisons to validate our system.
Secondly, we introduce the concept of Asteroid Mining Market Model. We use system
clustering to analyse the participants in this market. Based on historical data, we estimate
Cobb-Douglas production function to describe the output of producers. We also discuss the
roles of international organization that sets an upper bound of market share to promote equity.
Under above constraints, we calculate the output at the equilibrium point and analyse the impact
on global equity. We find that the booming of asteriod mining may hamper global equity under
initial conditions.
Thirdly, we discuss changes in conditions, which include changes in mining pattern and
national power. For the former, we discuss changes of public policy and participants using
simulation method. For the latter, we use Structural Equation Modeling (SEM) to analyse
the correlation of production factors, national power and global equity. Based on the results,
we conclude that public policy may alleviate global inequity, but has its cost.
Finally, based on the previous analysis results, we make policy recommendations for the sake
of improving global equity. The policy covers three parts: collect royalties, strict approval
procedures, and encourage cooperative development. We also analyse the feasibility of
the policy recommendations. We perform a sensitivity analysis on the model and discuss the
advantages and disadvantages of the study.
In a nutshell, we propose a reasonable indicator system to measure global equity quantita-
tively and establish an asteroid mining model to analyse its impacts on global equity. Our model
is also applicable to other realms and we look forward to making further discussion about it.
Keywords:
Asteroid mining, Global equity index, Cobb-Douglas production, Structural equation mod-
eling
更多数模资讯和学习资料，请关注b站/公众号：数学建模BOOM
b站主页：https://space.bilibili.com/350975620
剩余24页未读，继续阅读
资源评论
阿拉伯梳子
- 粉丝: 2547
- 资源: 5734
下载权益
C知道特权
VIP文章
课程特权
VIP享7折，此内容立减5.97元 开通VIP
最新资源
资源上传下载、课程学习等过程中有任何疑问或建议，欢迎提出宝贵意见哦~我们会及时处理！
点击此处反馈
