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经合组织(OECD)2016科技创新展望报告
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2016年9月,经合组织(OECD)科技政策委员会(Committee for Scientific and Technological Policy, CSTP)提交了《2016科技创新展望报告》(Science Technology and Innovation Outlook 2016)。
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OECD Science, Technology
and Innovation Outlook 2016
OECD Science, Technology and Innovation Outlook 2016
OECD Science,
Technology and
Innovation Outlook
2016
This report was approved and declassified by the OECD Committee for Scientific and
Technological Policy (CSTP) on 14 September 2016 and prepared for publication by the
OECD Secretariat.
This document and any map included herein are without prejudice to the status of or
sovereignty over any territory, to the delimitation of international frontiers and boundaries
and to the name of any territory, city or area.
ISBN 978-92-64-26305-5 (print)
ISBN 978-92-64-26306-2 (PDF)
Biennial:
ISSN 2518-6272 (print)
ISSN 2518-6167 (PDF)
The statistical data for Israel are supplied by and under the responsibility of the relevant Israeli authorities. The use
of such data by the OECD is without prejudice to the status of the Golan Heights, East Jerusalem and Israeli
settlements in the West Bank under the terms of international law.
Photo credits: © Renaud Madigner for the OECD.
Corrigenda to OECD publications may be found on line at: www.oecd.org/about/publishing/corrigenda.htm.
© OECD 2016
You can copy, download or print OECD content for your own use, and you can include excerpts from OECD publications, databases and
multimedia products in your own documents, presentations, blogs, websites and teaching materials, provided that suitable
acknowledgment of the source and copyright owner is given. All requests for public or commercial use and translation rights should be
submitted to rights@oecd.org. Requests for permission to photocopy portions of this material for public or commercial use shall be
addressed directly to the Copyright Clearance Center (CCC) at info@copyright.com or the Centre français d’exploitation du droit de copie
(CFC) at contact@cfcopies.com.
Please cite this publication as:
OECD (2016), OECD Science, Technology and Innovation Outlook 2016, OECD Publishing, Paris.
http://dx.doi.org/10.1787/sti_in_outlook-2016-en
FOREWORD
OECD SCIENCE, TECHNOLOGY AND INNOVATION OUTLOOK 2016 © OECD 2016
3
Foreword
The OECD Science, Technology and Innovation Outlook 2016 is the eleventh in a biennial
series designed to review key trends in science, technology and innovation (STI) in OECD countries
and a number of major non-member economies: Argentina, Brazil, China, Colombia, Costa Rica,
Egypt, India, Indonesia, Lithuania, Malaysia, Peru, the Russian Federation, South Africa and
Thailand. It aims at informing policy makers, business representatives and analysts about recent
and anticipated changes in the global patterns of science, technology and innovation and about the
current and possible future implications for national STI policies both at global and national level.
The STI Outlook 2016 takes a more forward-looking perspective compared to previous editions.
Chapter 1 considers megatrends that are expected to have a strong impact on the global economy
and on the financing of innovation, on our future society and its relationship with STI, and on the
modern state and future STI policy. Chapter 2 discusses ten key emerging technology trends
that not only are the most promising and potentially the most disruptive but which also carry
significant risks. The technologies covered are big data, the Internet of Things, artificial intelligence,
additive manufacturing, nano/microsatellites, neurotechnologies, synthetic biology, nanomaterials,
advanced energy storage technologies and blockchain. Chapter 3 presents future trends in science
policy over a 10-15 year horizon and takes a forward-looking approach to issues related to
multidisciplinarity, excellence, targeted funding, open science, the digitalisation of science and the
attractiveness of research careers.
The STI Outlook 2016 also presents recent trends in STI in light of the fragile economic recovery,
the scarcity of funding for innovation and entrepreneurship, mounting fiscal pressure, globalisation
and major societal challenges (climate change, ageing societies and growing inequality). Chapter 4
presents an overall assessment of recent developments and the outlook for STI and
policies across countries. It introduces a series of thematic STI policy profiles that provide a cross-
country comparison of specific STI policy orientations, instruments and governance in the OECD area
and beyond. The STI country profiles offer insights into national innovation systems: their
structural characteristics, their STI performance benchmarked against selected harmonised
indicators, and recent important developments in national STI policy. The focus of the profiles is on
national STI priorities and initiatives introduced from 2014 to 2016.
The STI Outlook 2016 draws on the OECD’s most recent empirical and analytical work in areas
related to innovation and innovation policy. It makes use of the responses of member countries and
non-member economies to the joint European Commission/OECD International Survey on
Science, Technology and Innovation Policy (STIP), formerly the biennial STI Outlook policy
questionnaire. It builds on a statistical framework of over 300 STI-related indicators, drawing on the
OECD’s long-term efforts to build a system of internationally comparable metrics to monitor STI policy
and on recent efforts to develop more experimental STI indicators.
Finally, the STI Outlook 2016 is one of the main pillars of the OECD-World Bank Innovation
Policy Platform (IPP), a web-based interactive space that provides access to open data, learning
resources and opportunities for collective learning about innovation policy.
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